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Why Doesn’t Putin Wear a Shirt? All About Oil

October 16th, 2014


I’ve been arguing that oil prices could plunge to $50 a barrel, as fracking spreads across the globe, OPEC infighting gets bloody, and Elon Musk proves that electric cars can be swift, smart and sexy. The 20% plunge in oil prices since June has pummeled currencies closely tied to oil, driving the Norwegian Krone and Canadian dollar to four and five-year lows. Meanwhile, the Russian ruble is evaporating under the added pressure of Ukraine sanctions. Why does Vladimir Putin prance … Continue Reading →

ISIS and George H.W. Bush’s Socks

October 6th, 2014


President George H.W. Bush’s stature must be rising.  I can tell because the GOP is selling striped socks emblazoned with his signature.  With all the acid hurled in Washington these days, many miss the elder Bush’s decency.  But it’s not only his preppie manners.  Of course, he knew which salad fork to use at dinner and never thought of stabbing his political rivals with the steak knife.  But more important, Bush managed to kick Saddam Hussein out of Kuwait in … Continue Reading →

Can France Pirouette? Mr. Hollande’s Mess

August 26th, 2014


France’s government has fallen. With a 17 percent approval rating, President Francois Hollande cannot keep his Socialist ducks in order.

Economy Minister Arnaud Montebourg flew away after a weekend squabble over Hollande’s leadership. You can’t blame him; it’s hard to be Economy Minister and defend a 10-percent unemployment rate along with a mucky business climate.  Here’s my CNBC.com commentary comparing Hollande to the wily Francois Mitterrand.

Hollande stormed into office in 2012 with populist propaganda condemning business owners and catapulting … Continue Reading →

Mom Got a 4% Yield on Her CD

August 18th, 2014


Was my Mom scammed?  Here’s the story I wrote for CNBC that brings some laughs to a serious subject:

My mother called to tell me that she had just invested money in a bank CD that will pay her a 4-percent return.

“Is it a good deal? You’re a big shot; you should know,” she added. Perhaps I should not have told her that I recently met with a Federal Reserve Board governor.

“Well Mom, that sounds like a fair … Continue Reading →

Spend the Money!

August 8th, 2014


Jerry Maguire taught us the first rule of agenting: Show me the money!
What’s the first rule of bureaucrats? Spend the money! In 2013, the Department of State shelled out $1 million for a piece of artwork made of rough granite blocks.
Although the following rule is not actually boldfaced in official training manuals, bureaucrats know that “Thou shall not leave any unspent funds in the cash till at the end of the fiscal year.” In their deeply ingrained logic, … Continue Reading →

Thank Queen Victoria for Sparing You Pain

July 22nd, 2014


Whenever someone tells you that the modern economy makes people miserable and that people felt just as happy generations ago, ask the following question: “Would you like open-heart surgery without anesthesia?”

Today “sedation dentists” advertise on radio programs, offering to lull anxious patients to sleep for mere tooth cleanings. And so it’s hard for us in 2014 to imagine that in the 1850s doctors would amputate limbs without either washing their hands or putting their patients into a sleepy mood. … Continue Reading →

We’re Not the World’s Policeman

July 1st, 2014


The U.S.’s only recent foreign policy success was our soccer team’s win over Ghana. “The U.S. can’t be the world’s policeman!” That’s the cliche that’s been tossed about ever since Vietnam. And it’s true, of course. We have trouble enough handling Toledo, much less Tripoli and Afghanistan.

But what happens when the U.S. appears to withdraw from the world, looking feeble and feckless? Just turn on the television to see the answer: Vladimir Putin struts into Crimea, Bashar Assad refuses … Continue Reading →

A Jersey Boy’s Guide to Cash and Culture

June 23rd, 2014


“How did you know that Jersey Boys would be a smash on Broadway?” Of course, I didn’t know, but that’s the question I hear when people find out that I was among the co-producers. Clint Eastwood, a legend among film buffs, jazz aficionados, and cowboys, has just unveiled his movie version. Amid the tight harmonies and snapping fingers, let me share some history and investing lessons for those tempted to go for gold, if not platinum.

Ten years ago, Jersey … Continue Reading →

Mouse Rules

June 10th, 2014


Today’s Wall Street Journal explains how Disney executives turn kids TV into toy profits. But Walt Disney himself figured this out a long time ago. To raise money for his non-silent movie Steamboat Willie (1928), Walt licensed Mickey Mouse’s face for pads of paper. Though Walt did not invent the idea of Mickey Mouse Clubs, he enthusiastically backed them in the early 1930s, publishing newsletters and offering buttons, pencil boxes, and a theme song. Twenty years before the perky Annette … Continue Reading →

Free Trade Makes You Taller!

June 3rd, 2014


While Thomas Piketty and his critics hurl reams of contradictory data at each other on the subject of income inequality, don’t forget this crucial historical fact:  Capitalism and free trade have made people more equal in the most important ways — life expectancy, health, and even height. The freer trade that followed the Industrial Revolution brought lower prices to consumers; new opportunities to far-off places like Cleveland, Bombay and Shanghai; and it inspired young people to leave the farm and … Continue Reading →